You are watching: How many super bowls have gone to overtime
The odds of Super key 54 going to overtime to be +1000 at DraftKings Sportsbook together of Sunday afternoon.Before the Chiefs and also 49ers kicked off, Evan Abrams check the background and numbers of betting "yes" on the Super key OT prop bet.
During Wild map weekend, two of the 4 games checked out overtime. Since then, the 4 Divisional round games and also two Conference Championship games finished in regulation.
So what space the odds we get another overtime game in Miami? Let’s take a look at the background of overtime and its correlation to the playoffs and also the at sight Bowl.
History of Overtime
Only one of the previous 53 super Bowls have gone come overtime: as soon as the Patriots trailed the Falcons, 28-3, in Super bowl 51 late in the third quarter climate scored 25 unanswered point out — consisting of a game-tying touchdown and also two-point switch to force overtime.
Tom Brady and also the Patriots winner the coin toss and also drove under the field, without even facing a third down. Climate James White score the game-winning touchdown to finish the greatest comeback in Super bowl history.
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Six the the 53 at sight Bowls have actually finished through a margin of three points, 3 finished through a margin that seven and also one finished with a margin the eight. Eight that those cumulative 10 games featured a minute at the end of the game when overtime was possible given the margin, yet it took till the 2016 season because that it to occur.
The Patriots have actually been affiliated in the past 5 Super Bowls that could have unable to do (or go go) come overtime: 36, 38, 39, 42 and 51.
The Odds Behind Overtime
The odds the there will be overtime in Super bowl 54 are +1000, and also -2500 the there won’t be. So if friend wagered $100 on an overtime period, you’d success $1,000 and return $1,100 in total.
Eliminating the vig native the odds itself, +1000 equates to approximately a 9% chance to cash.
With overtime only developing once in the super Bowl’s 53-year history, let’s increase this lens come the consistent season and playoffs.
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The math Behind Overtime
Overtime arising just as soon as in 53 super Bowls is great for a 1.9% rate, while the 306 time overtime has actually happened in the 2,560 regular-season games over the past decade is great for a 12% rate.
With such a large gap between the percent of games to walk to overtime in the Super bowl vs. Continual season, the apparent next layer is the playoffs. The gamings are tighter, the teams are much better and there’s theoretically a far better chance for an extra period.
Ten of the 109 playoff games over the previous decade have gone come overtime, good for a 9.2% rate — a virtually 3% decrease from the continuous season.
Let’s do a fast recap…12% that regular-season games go to overtime, which should equate to about a +730 bet.9.2% playoff gamings go come overtime, which need to equate to about a +1000 or 10-1 bet.1.9% of supervisor Bowls have gone to overtime, which have to equate to about a 50-1 lengthy shot (+5000).
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If you average out the constant season pct and the playoff pct (12% and 9.2%), the 10.6% average, which would equate to around an +850 bet is best in line with the market, i beg your pardon is +1000.